‘Dune’ will be the clear winner with close to half a dozen wins and no other film will win more than three Oscars this year.
Best Motion Picture of the Year
Who Will Win: The Power of the Dog
Who Should Win: Coda
Honourable Mention: Besides ‘The Power of the Dog’, the other good movies are ‘Dune’, ‘Drive My Car’, and ‘Nightmare Alley’
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Who Will Win: Will Smith
Who Should Win: Will Smith
Honourable Mention: Benedict Cumberbatch
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Who Will Win: Jessica Chastain because the competition is weak. She should have won earlier for ‘Zero Dark Thirty’ but was robbed by Weinstein’s machinations.
Who Should Win: Kristen Stewart is the saving grace in her Diana biopic.
Honourable Mention: Nicole Kidman
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Who Will Win: Troy Kotsur (for CODA) has built a strong claim with multiple triumphs this award season
Who Should Win: Troy Kotsur
Honourable Mention: Kodi Smith-McPhee
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Who Will Win: Ariana Debose could be the only Oscar winner for a rather boring remake of ‘West Side Story’
Who Should Win: Ariana Debose
Honourable Mention: Kirsten Dunst
Best Achievement in Directing
Who Will Win: Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog). This movie is all about her directing.
Who Should Win: Jane Campion
Honourable Mention: Ryusuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car). Drive My Car is a feat of direction.
Best Original Screenplay
Who Will Win: Paul Thomas Anderson (Licorize Pizza) because he deserves an Oscar for his body of work even though this film is one of his weakest ever
Who Should Win: Paul Thomas Anderson (Licorize Pizza)
Honourable Mention: Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier (The Worst Person in the World)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Who Will Win: I would like Siân Heder for ‘Coda’ to win but ‘The Power of the Dog’ and ‘Drive My car’ would be deserving winners.
Who Should Win: Siân Heder (Coda)
Honourable Mention: Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe (Drive My Car)
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Who Will Win: Greig Fraser (Dune)
Who Should Win: Greig Fraser (Dune)
Honourable Mention: Ari Wegner (The Power of the Dog)
Best Achievement in Film Editing
Who Will Win: Joe Walker (Dune)
Who Should Win: Joe Walker (Dune)
Honourable Mention: Peter Sciberras (The Power of the Dog)
Best Achievement in Production Design
Who Will Win: Dune (Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos)
Who Should Win: Dune (Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos)
Honourable Mention: West Side Story
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Who Will Win: Jenny Beavan (Cruella)
Who Should Win: Jenny Beavan (Cruella)
Honourable Mention: Paul Tazewell (West Side Story)
Best Sound
Who Will Win: Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett (Dune)
Who Should Win: Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett (Dune)
Honourable Mention: Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor (No Time To Die)
Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Who Will Win: Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
Who Should Win: Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
Honourable Mention: Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva von Bahr (Dune)
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score)
Who Will Win: Hans Zimmer (Dune)
Who Should Win: Hans Zimmer (Dune)
Honourable Mention: Germaine Franco (Encanto)
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)
Who Will Win: Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell (No Time to Die)
Who Should Win: Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell (No Time to Die)
Honourable Mention: Lin-Manuel Miranda (Encanto)
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Who Will Win: Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer (Dune)
Who Should Win: Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer (Dune)
Honourable Mention: Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould (No Time To Die)
Best Documentary Feature
Who Will Win: Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)
Who Should Win: Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)
Honourable Mention: ‘Writing With Fire’. A damning indictment of the political and social conditions in Uttar Pradesh, India.
Best Animated Feature Film
Who Will Win: I would like ‘The Mitchells vs the Machines’ to win but I know ‘Encanto’ will win.
Who Should Win: ‘The Mitchells vs the Machines’
Honourable Mention: ‘Flee’
Best International Feature Film
Who Will Win: I like all the nominees in this category but ‘Drive My Car’ will win
Who Should Win: Drive My Car
Honourable Mention: The Hand of God